Título original: ¡El Índice de Shanghai perdió 3500 puntos! Las acciones cíclicas repuntaron, ¿más señuelo o el regreso del rey? Los hotspots se mueven rápidamente, ¿cómo se hacen las pepitas?
After many days of silence, on May 21, cyclical stocks rebounded hand in hand.Chongqing Iron and Steel、Hainan Mining、Tibet Mining、Luoping Zinc Power、China Mineral ResourcesWaiting is the daily limit. This adds another fire to the hot topic of “periodical stock debate” recently.
Some insiders believe that the factors that originally supported the trend of cyclical stocks have changed, but there are also institutional insiders who believe that the cyclical market is not over yet.
Shanghai Index3500 points lost
On May 21, the A-shares showed an overall low order.The Shanghai Composite IndexIt closed down 0.58%, recording a three-day losing streak. According to Wind data, as of the close, the Shanghai Composite Index fell 0.58% to 3,486.56 points;Shenzhen Component IndexFell 0.81% to 14417.46 points;Growth Enterprise Market IndexIt fell 0.97% to 3113.26 points.
Data source: Wind
Wind data shows that the northbound funds sold a net 578 million yuan throughout the day, of whichShanghai Stock ConnectNet sales of 2.072 billion yuan,Shenzhen Stock ConnectNet purchases were 1.494 billion yuan.
Data source: Wind
Wind data shows that among the 28 industry sectors of Shenwan Grade I, steel, mining,Public utilities、Non-ferrous metals, Commercial and trade sectors, among the top gainers; national defense and military industry, non-bank finance, leisure services,bank, Pharmaceutical and Biology sectors were among the top decliners.
Among the conceptual sectors, conceptual sectors such as lithium mining, thermal power, connected boards, and hydropower were among the top gainers, while conceptual sectors such as stock software, vaccines, semiconductor equipment, and semiconductor wafers were among the top decliners.
According to industry insiders, recent market hot spotsthemeWith continued differentiation and rapid rotation, the market’s profit-making effect is still difficult to improve. Technically, the Shanghai stock index continued its upward trend and began to oscillate again after approaching the high point again, showing obvious hesitation, but the market did not appear panic, and the market outlook still needs to wait for further stabilization.
Cycle stocks are warming up
It is worth mentioning that, after many days of adjustment, on May 21, cyclical stocks picked up hand in hand. Wind data shows that among the 28 industry sectors at the first level of Shenwan, the steel index, extractive index,Non-ferrous metalsThe index gains ranked first, second, and fourth on the list of gains, with gains of 1.84%, 1.52%, and 0.84% respectively.
Data source: Wind
Data source: Wind
In terms of the mining sector,Hainan Mining、Tibet MiningDaily limit,Hengtai AipuRose more than 13%,Longgao shares、China Coal Energy、Yanzhou Coal Industry、Shaanxi Black Cat、Shanxi Coking CoalSuch gains are also relatively high.
As cyclical stocks generally recovered, the black futures market fell further.According to data from Wenhua Finance and Economics, on the 21st, thermal coal futuresMain forceThe contract fell by more than 9%. The main coking coal and coke futures contracts fell 5.74% and 4.30% respectively. The declines of the three were among the top three in the commodity futures decline list of the day.
Data source: Wenhua Finance
CICCAnalystThe views published by Wang Hanfeng and He Lu believe that the cyclical stock market may become more volatile and structured in the future. First, the price increase of upstream raw materials has been going on for a long time, and it has not only started this year, and the increase has been large; second, the downstream demand is not strong; third, the uncertainty of the policy level has begun to rise.
Near 3500 points may be an important support point
How should investors capture investment opportunities in the recent market hot topics that continue to differentiate and rotate rapidly?
GuoshengStock investmentConsultant Wang Hao said that the recent disturbances in the external environment of the two cities have further returned to the upward channel after the flag-shaped trend and touched the pressure on the upper edge of the channel. However, the overall hot topics are dominated by rapid rotation, and the current market sentiment is more hesitant to choose. In the early stage, the market was under pressure and oscillated around 3,500 points, which may be an important support point at the moment. If there is panic fluctuation in the intraday, it may be a good time to buy low.
In terms of operation, Wang Hao suggested that, from the perspective of the sector, the heavy-duty stocks of institutions with liquor and medicine as the main line have stabilized, and the market outlook should pay attention to the leading stocks with strong certainty of growth in the market. In terms of operation, it is advisable to lighten the index, emphasize the structure, and lean towards growth. Generally speaking, the A-shares will quickly break away from the bottom after successful bottoming, but the upper side is facing pressure. The short-term market opportunity lies in the stimulus of the event, and the stocks that encounter the rebound can be appropriately lightened; mid-term meeting Institutions with low attention and high certainty are mainly Shigekura White Horse.
Wang Hanfeng and He Lu believe that the current focus on valuation, industry chain location and catalytic factors, combined with the comprehensive judgment of valuation and prosperity, can focus on the following directions: First, in the pan-consumer field, bargaining power is relatively strong, profit pressure is small, and the degree of prosperity High or improved sectors (such as automobiles, home appliances, light industrial homes, medical,food and drinkEtc.) is still the bottom-up focus; second, to maintain a high boom in technology hardware such as semiconductors, the middle and upper reaches of the new energy automobile industry chain, etc.; third, in the old economy, part of the structure is optimized, and there are phased growth attributes Raw materials. Some structural themes, such as electric vehicles and autonomous driving, new energy, AR/VR, etc. are worthy of attention.
Shanxi SecuritiesSaid that in the near future, the market expects that the high-prosperity consumer and technology sectors will still have strong attractiveness, and the market will continue to fluctuate upwards driven by related sectors. It is recommended to pay attention to the rising opportunities of the science and technology board with more concentrated science and technology topics. The leading target with high technology and market share barriers in the sector.
(Source: China Securities Journal)
(Editor in charge: DF398)
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